Insights From
Every Angle
News, views and market insight from the Yarra Capital Management team.
We value research, insight and analysis that helps us identify the best opportunities for superior and sustainable returns over the longer term. Our distinctive investment approach capitalises on viewpoints from both our equity and fixed income teams. Read their perspectives on markets, trends and opportunities in local and global markets here.

In this latest market update, Tim Toohey (Head of Macro and Strategy) looks at the three things that have been historically identified as useful predictors of recession: (i) oil price spikes, (ii) confidence shocks, and (iii) excessive tightening of financial conditions.

Geopolitical shocks and a sharp repricing of rates have driven bond yields materially higher. While volatility has increased, Phil Strano (Head of Australian Credit Research) believes resilient credit markets and elevated income levels are creating compelling opportunities for active investors to lock in favourable income and using duration strategies to protect portfolios.

Geopolitical tension, stubborn inflation and volatile energy markets are once again testing investor confidence. This is especially the case across small and micro‑cap equities.

Choosing to tighten into large and persistent exogenous economic shocks could well prove to be one of the biggest policy errors the RBA has made in the inflation targeting era. Tim Toohey, Head of Macro and Strategy, explains why.

The distinction between noise and opportunity has shaped Dion Hershan’s approach through multiple market cycles, from the tech wreck to the global financial crisis. Reflecting on these periods of extreme volatility, investor decision making during such periods frequently matter more than those made in calmer waters.

Roy Keenan sits down with Livewire Markets to break down the risks, opportunities and mispriced assumptions shaping credit markets in 2026 — from the RBA and global capital flows to private credit and major bank Tier 2s.

Yarra's Australian Equities team breaks down the biggest surprises, standout performers and hidden opportunities from the February reporting season. From sector‑wide shocks to under‑the‑radar winners, our Portfolio Managers provide their sharp insights from across their entire investible universe.

From powerful sector divergences to the rising influence of AI across markets, Yarra Capital Management’s Australian equities team sits down with Livewire Markets to unpack the standout winners, surprise laggards, and the opportunities emerging from the February reporting season.

Australia’s reporting season is delivering no shortage of surprises — and opportunities. In this interview with Nadine Blayney from ausbiz, Joel Fleming (Portfolio Manager, Microcap Equities) unpacks the standout themes shaping the microcap landscape right now.

As credit spreads normalised through 2025, yield‑hungry investors have turned to leverage to maintain 6%+ returns — pushing some parts of the market uncomfortably close to pre‑GFC behaviours. Phil Strano (Head of Australian Credit Research) believes investors need to be careful to understand the true risk‑return trade‑off.

One of last year's unsung success stories on the ASX unfolded outside the top tier. The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index delivered a total return of 24.96% in 2025, almost 2.5 times the ASX 200's total return. After years of underperformance, the sector is bouncing back as cyclical tailwinds align, bringing significant opportunities for investors with a disciplined and focused investment process.

The smallest part of the market offers a huge investible universe and the opportunity for genuinely impressive long-term growth. As a sector brimming with valuation inefficiencies, broad exposures and under-the-radar growth stories, it's a part of the market that offers a happy hunting ground for all investors.
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